• by:
  • Source: FAIRtax
  • 04/09/2021

The National Tax Research Committee has approved the release by Americans For Fair Taxation of the study entitled Estimated Future Tax Evasion under the Income Tax and Prospects for Tax Evasion under the FairTax: New Perspectives. This study was done by Richard J. Cebula, Ph.D.,
Walker/Wells Fargo Endowed Chair in Finance, Jacksonville University and Fiorentina Angjellari-Dajci, Ph.D., Florida State College at Jacksonville, Florida.

Here are some of the major conclusions from the study:

  • Total tax evasion (all federal taxes) will increase from an estimated 20.2% in 2017 to 23.6% in 2026 of gross tax revenues by 2026.
  • Total evasion from the federal income tax system over the next decade (2017-2026) based on historical trends will reach about 9 trillion dollars.
  • Individual Income Tax evasion from 2017 to 2026 will persist above the 16% level.  Based on historic growth rates (which is the more likely to occur scenario), income tax evasion will grow from 29.3% of income tax revenues in 2017 to 34.2% by 2026 – exceeding one third of income tax revenues.
  • To enable the federal government to raise the same level of revenue it would collect if all taxpayers were to report their income and pay their taxes in full, the income tax system, in effect, assesses the average household an annual “surtax” that varies from $4,276  under the most conservative scenario, to $8,526 based on the more likely to occur historical evasion trends.
  • The cumulative tax burden shifted from tax scofflaws to compliant taxpayers amounts to a total estimated burden of between $46,623 and $68,328 over the ten-year period from 2017-2026, which is comparable in size, if not greater, under the third scenario, to both the median and mean household income in the U.S. in 2015.
  • In other words, in one out of the 10 years ahead each American household will be working solely to pay off the 10-year overall “surtax”—arguably a heavy burden for every household.

This landmark study clearly establishes that the income/payroll tax system is heading for a cliff.  We have repeatedly warned that evasion is increasing.  All of us see it every day.  We know that the nature of the work force is no longer primarily employer-employee but already in excess of 35% non-traditional workers who either have several jobs or are independent contractors.  This was extensively discussed in the December 2, 2016 FAIRtax newsletter.
How long are people who are paying their income/payroll taxes going to tolerate paying to support the people who have chosen to not pay their share of income/payroll taxes?  How long will the growing number of non-traditional workers, who are paying the correct amount of income/payroll taxes, continue to pay when they see their neighbors and friends keeping more of their money by evading taxes?
To those of us who are horrified by many of the IRS abuses, are we really interested in Congress authorizing and funding the hiring of armies of IRS auditors who will harass all of us as they seek to catch the people who are evading the income/payroll tax?  Many in D.C. may say, “Why are you concerned?  If you haven’t done anything wrong then what do you care?”
The answer lies in the absurdity of the income tax law and the way that the IRS has worked.  There are few absolute certainties in the Internal Revenue Code.  Was it a business dinner or a business trip?  Do you have what the IRS considers the required records to justify the deduction?  Audits take time and many of us will be involved in a very time-consuming and often costly process, if we employ accountants or attorneys to help us. 
At the end of the day, we will all be forced to suffer through the futile attempt to stop the sinking income/payroll tax system.  What the D.C. elites don’t recognize is that people subjected to arbitrary actions by IRS auditors will rebel.  How do they rebel?  They often find ways to evade the income/payroll tax and justify this by pointing to the abusive IRS actions.
It is vital that each of us ensure that the Cebula study is delivered to every Member of Congress and is sent to President Trump.   Please download and print the study and deliver it to the local office of your Member of the House of Representatives and each of your two Senators.  If you cannot deliver it, then ask a friend that lives near these representatives to deliver them to the office. 
Once they have been delivered, then it is necessary for you to follow up to ensure that the study has been shown to the Member and then to demand to know what the Member is going to do about this.  Are they simply going to fund armies of IRS agents who try to coerce compliance with the income/payroll tax?  Or are they willing to look at real tax reform—H.R. 25 or S.B. 18, The FAIRtax? 
The choice is simple.  Either your Member is agreeable to people cheating and demanding that you pay for the evaders or to hiring armies of IRS agents to perform intrusive audits.


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To all things, there is a beginning and an end.  The end is when HR 25, The Fair Tax Act of 2017 becomes law.  If someone needs to start from the beginning with the FAIRtax, this e-book is what they need. We all need to become engaged in order to force Congress and President Trump to adopt the FAIRtax as the new tax plan.   We all need to come up to speed on the FAIRtax.  This e-book is the first step. 

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AMERICA'S BIG SOLUTION by Florida Volunteer Terry Tibbetts has been written to give people of all ages a basic introduction to the FAIRtax and encourage them to learn more about the most thoroughly researched tax plan ever presented to Congress.  It is a light hearted approach to a very serious subject. 

Everyone needs to know that we have an alternative to federal income tax and the criminal enterprise known as the IRS.  Everyone needs hope and AMERICA'S BIG SOLUTION provides that hope. AMERICA'S BIG SOLUTION is an alternative the social media platforms competing for our attention. 

You can even purchase a print copy at the same Amazon link above for $9.25.  Regardless of whether you choose the electronic format or the print format, you'll find AMERICA'S BIG SOLUTION will give someone the boost they need to begin their study of the FAIRtax and the suggested resources to learn more. Buy AMERICA'S BIG SOLUTION now!

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Of course we still do our free weekly podcast just for you.  A new podcast is posted every Friday morning.
Through the “Hope and Change” of the last eight years and the promises to “Make America Great Again,” what is Congress and the new administration offering us as tax reform? At this point, both President Trump and the Speaker Ryan are offering a modification of the current failed system. As Kerry Bowers, one of The FAIRtax Guys interviewees, said about Speaker Ryan’s “A Better Way” plan, “It transforms the tax plan from a personal income tax, a corporate income tax and a payroll tax enforced and administered by the IRS to a system that includes a personal income tax, a corporate income tax and a payroll tax enforced and administered by the IRS.”  Is this REAL reform?  No!
As The FAIRtax Guys discuss, this plan does not represent “Hope and Change” and is not the way to “Make America Great Again.” We need true tax reform; we need the FAIRtax. And we provide the listener new and novel ways to discuss the FAIRtax with your friends and neighbors every week. 
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